INE: House Prices Rose By 0.4% In 2014 After 6 Years In Decline

9 March 2015 – Expansión

House prices increased by 1.8% during the fourth quarter of 2014 to record three consecutive quarters of increases, according to the National Institute for Statistics. During 2014 as a whole, prices increased by 0.4% after six years in decline.

Between 2008 and 2013, the price of unsubsidised homes recorded annual decreases of varying magnitudes: -1.5% in 2008, -6.7% in 2009, -2% in 2010, -7.4% in 2011, -13.7% in 2012 and -10.6% in 2013. In 2007, when this index first was first launched, the price of unsubsidised housing recorded a positive growth rate of 9.8%.

By type of housing, the price of second-hand homes increased by 0.1% in 2014 after six years in decline. In the case of new homes, the average price increased by 0.9% in 2014 after five years in decline.

During the fourth quarter of 2014, the price of unsubsidised homes increased by 1.8% with respect to the same quarter in 2013, increasing the year-on-year variation recorded in the third quarter (+0.3%) by 1.5 points.

As such, prices have now experienced positive year-on-year variations for the last three consecutive quarters after six years of year-on-year decreases.

By type of housing, the price of new homes increased by 1.9% compared with the fourth quarter in 2013, increasing the year-on-year variation recorded in the third quarter by more than one point; meanwhile, the price of second-hand homes rose by 1.7%, compared with an increase of just 0.1% in the third quarter.

In terms of the quarter-on-quarter rate (i.e. the fourth quarter 2014 versus the third quarter of the same year), the price of unsubsidised housing increased by 0.2%, whereby completing three consecutive quarters of growth.

Original story: Expansión

Translation: Carmel Drake

INE: House Sales Increased By 9.6% In January

6 March 2015 – Expansión

House sales increased by 9.6% in January with respect to the same period in 2014, according to data released by INE today.

33,416 house sales were recorded during the first month of 2015. This year-on-year increase is the fifth consecutive rise and was primarily driven by a 50.8% increase in the volume of second-hand home sales, which amounted to 24,413 during the month. By contrast, the sale of new homes decreased by 37.1% compared with January 2014, to just 9,003 transactions, announced the statistical body.

The data shared by INE corresponds to sales recorded in the property registries relating to public deeds signed in the months prior to the month of reference.

If we look at the monthly data only (January 2015 versus December 2014), house sales increased by 28.5%, the lowest rise during this month for the last five years.

Most of the homes sold during the first month of the year, specifically 88.8%, were unsubsidised. The sale of this type of home increased by 10.4% in year-on-year terms to reach 29,667 transactions; meanwhile, there were 3,749 sales involving subsidised homes, an increase of 3.3% with respect to January 2014.

Original story: Expansión

Translation: Carmel Drake

Housing: 319,389 Homes Were Sold In 2014, Up By 2.2%

11 February 2015 – Expansión

After three years in decline, INE confirms that the residential sector is on the road to recovery. The greater increases in the number of transactions were recorded in the Balearic Islands (18.5%), Navarra (13.9%) and the Canary Islands (12%).

The National Institute of Statistics (el Instituto Nacional de Estadística or INE) confirmed yesterday that house sales have turned the corner around Cape Horn. The crisis is not behind us yet, by any means, but the sector has begun its long road to recovery, and that is the best news to come out of the property sector in over six years. Residential property transactions increased by 2.2% in 2014.

Last year, 319,389 homes were sold, compared with 312,600 in 2013 and 318,534 in 2012. This represented the first annual statistical increase since 2010, although that year was clearly affected by the termination of the tax relief for first home purchases for individuals earning more than €24,107, which caused numerous families to bring forward their house purchases so as not to miss out on the tax incentive of up to €1,350 per year.

“The year-end figure reflects a rise that, although timid, is a symptom of a significant change in the pace of operations. It is an encouraging piece of data that emphasises the stabilisation of the sector and it is based on the return of financial institutions to the field of finance and on the price adjustments undergone in the market”, said Manuel Gandarias, Head of Research at pisos.com.

In reality, 2014 was the first year since 2007 in which demand grew by itself, without tax incentives or other decisive policies. The worst years of the crisis for the property sector were 2008 and 2009, when residential sales decreased by -28.8% and -25.1%, respectively. In 2010, sales increased by 6.3%. The decline then slowed down gradually in 2011 (-18.1%), 2012 (-11.5%) and 2013 (-1.9%, when tax relief ended completely).

The expected upturn in purchases in due solely and exclusively to the strong sentiment in the second hand market, the real thermometer of the residential sector at a time when new homes are still somewhat mummified, in an over-inflated stock.

Sales of used homes increased to 199,943 in 2014, i.e. 18.4% more than a year earlier. Second hand homes now account for two out of every three transactions (62.6% of the total). These sales had increased by 3.8% in 2013.

Meanwhile, sales of new homes in 2014 amounted to 119,446 (down -6.9% with respect to 2013) and now accumulate four consecutive years of decline.

“This superiority of used homes over new builds is not only based on the larger volume and leeway afforded by the prices of such homes, it is also due to the scarcity of new developments and the effect caused when the banks dumped the new developments they held on their balance sheets, which effectively converted these properties into second hand homes for tax purposes”, said Gandarias.

The number of unsubsidised homes sold increased by 3.2% with respect to 2013, whilst the number of subsidised house sales decreased by 6.2%.

By autonomous region

The autonomous communities that experienced the greatest increases in the number of house sales in 2014 were the Balearic Islands (18.5%), Navarra (13.9%) and the Canary Islands (12%). The largest decreases were recorded in La Rioja (-25.1%), Castilla-La Mancha (-12.6%) and Murcia (-6.3%).

The regions that recorded the most transactions per 100,000 inhabitants in 2014 were Valencia (1,182), the Balearic Islands (1,043) and the Canary Islands (1,015).

83.0% of the sales recorded in 2014 related to urban properties and 17% to rural properties. In the case of urban properties, 55% corresponded to homes. Sales of rural properties increased by 7.3% and sales of urban properties rose by 0.9%. Within this second group, housing was the property type that experienced the highest growth.

The experts expect the improvement in house sales to extend into 2015. The 21st Edition of the Real Estate Heart Rate Monitor (la XXI edición del Pulsímetro Inmobiliario) published by the Institute of Business Practices (el Instituto de Práctica Empresarial or IPE) last week, forecasts that sales will grow by 7.5% this year.

According to the IPE, house prices will grow by 2.5% in 2015. In addition, mortgage lending will increase by 2.5% and the construction of new builds will grow by 7.5%.

Sales have already increased. Will prices rise too? We will know on 9 March, when INE publishes data abour the average house price at the end of 2014.

Original story: Expansión (by Juanma Lamet)

Translation: Carmel Drake