Moody’s: The Average LTV on Residential Mortgages Amounted to 64.6% in Q1 2019

30 May 2019 – El Diario

According to the latest data from INE, more and more people are taking out a mortgage to buy a home in Spain. 30,716 mortgage contracts were signed in March, up by 15.8% YoY.

Many buyers are attracted by rising house prices (investment growth), which the ratings agency Moody’s considers is something “positive”. However, with personal savings rates in freefall, banks are having to lend more than ever to enable families to afford their homes.

Specifically, the percentage that the loan granted represents over the appraisal value of the property (LTV) amounted to 66.5% in Q4 2018, its highest figure ever. That figure moderated slightly to 64.6% in Q1 2019 but many families are now asking to borrow 65%-70% of the value of their homes, which means a greater risk for banks and a higher probability of defaulted payments.

According to Moody’s, whilst a portfolio with an average LTV of more than 80% has a default rate of more than 6%, a portfolio with an average LTV of less than 60% has a default rate of 1%.

Nevertheless, although some banks are now lending mortgages with LTVs of 100% in certain cases, the percentage of loans with LTVs of more than 80% is lower than it was before the crisis. Such mortgages currently account for 13.1% of the total compared with 17% in 2006.

Moreover, according to Moody’s, mortgage borrowers are better off today than they were at the outbreak of the crisis as they are in a better position to afford interest rate rises and other changes in the market thanks to the strict criteria that the financial entities have applied when granting loans in recent years.

Original story: El Diario (by Marina Estévez Torreblanca)

Translation/Summary: Carmel Drake

Quabit Signs €50M Loan with Taconic & Grupo Royal Metropolitan to Fund Land Purchases

4 April 2018 – Eje Prime

Quabit has sealed a deal to continue operating in the property development business. The company has signed a line of credit amounting to €50 million with the aim of financing the acquisition of developable plots of land focused on the development of residential real estate assets, according to a statement filed by the company with Spain’s National Securities and Exchange Commission (CNMV). The real estate company has signed the loan with specific funds advised by the companies Taconic Capital Advisors UK and Grupo Royal Metropolitan España.

Specifically, according to the agreement, the provisions of this line will finance 70% of land acquisitions and the corresponding taxes, whilst Quabit will finance the remaining 30%.

The funds must be drawn down during the first nine months of the contract, and the drawn down funds must be returned upon maturity of the line of credit, after four years, with the possibility of making early repayments and reusing the funds to finance new investments.

For each one of the projects financed, a separate company will be used in which Quabit will hold a 100% stake, albeit indirectly. These stakes will be the guarantee for the loans, leaving the land free, if necessary, for banks to finance its development.

The signing of this line of credit forms part of the new investments financing scheme established by Quabit in its business plan for 2017-2022. The company chaired by Félix Abánades recorded turnover of €535.7 million in 2017, although its sales fell by 83% due to a reduction in stock during 2016, and because its new developments are going to start to be handed over this year, according to the real estate company.

Original story: Eje Prime

Translation: Carmel Drake

Málaga’s Residential Sector is Booming Once Again

11 March 2018 – Málaga Hoy

“We all want to be in Málaga because almost all of the cases there are successful. It is an established location (…)”. That is according to Juan Conejo, Director in Andalucía of the property developer Momentum, and his feelings are shared by the majority of the professionals in the sector who ratify that Málaga is, for the time being, the third largest market in Spain for the construction of new build homes, behind Madrid and Barcelona. This newspaper has been in contact with several of the most important property developers that operate on the Costa del Sol and all of them tell the same story: the crisis is over, the sector has reactivated and thousands of homes are being built or will be soon backed by multi-million investments.

Moreover, the complexion of the market has changed completely. The banks are no long financing the land purchases, but rather property developers are having to look for other resources – in-house, investment funds, asset sales, etc. – and they are only being granted loans to build homes if they can prove that at least 40%-50% of the homes have already been reserved, the famous pre-sales. Financial institutions only lend money if they find safe bets (…).

In this context, Málaga is becoming one of the great protagonists on the national stage because it is playing on several fronts. The capital is an important location for primary residence properties and the coast, primarily to the west of the capital, although there are also some projects to the east, is one of the most sought-after places for foreigners to have second homes.

“Málaga has clearly climbed onto the podium alongside Madrid and Barcelona and it is clear that the market has been reactivating for a year now, whereas other provinces such as Valencia and Sevilla are starting to see movement now”, explains Miguel Ángel Barruso, Director in Andalucía of Avantespacia, a property developer that is building 215 homes in two promotions in Tabacalera – where it has already sold 70% of the properties – and Teatinos, which will be handed over at the end of 2019. “Property developers have not sold any new homes for 10 years and there is significant pent-up demand on the buy-side, and so we are now looking ahead to the next few years with optimism”, added that expert.

Momentum is clear about its commitment to Málaga (…). “Málaga is growing a lot. We have a development in Teatinos that we were going to build in phases but which, in the end, we are going to construct in one go, comprising 300 homes in total, because we already have 50% of the properties reserved; meanwhile, in Colinas del Limonar, we have two other projects with the same level of pre-sales”, said Conejo (…).

Nevertheless, the Regional Director for Momentum emphasises that it is important to move with caution and to analyse each project in detail, especially in light of the current banking demands. “Starting a construction project now is already a success because it shows that you have pre-sold around half of the homes that you are going to build and it is always harder to get customers to buy off-plan, and so we have to analyse very clearly where the demand is”, he said.

Now, professionalism is key. Rafael Torres, Insur’s representative in Málaga (…). Insur is working on two major projects in Málaga capital in the Plaza del Teatro – where work on 57 homes has now started and 50% of the properties have been reserved, some of which have been paid for in their entirety – and in Churriana. It also has several projects in Marbella, comprising 300 more homes. Torres highlights that the market research conducted by his company reveals that there are 83 new home developments under construction or in the pre-sale phase on the western Costa del Sol, of which 40% are in Estepona, Mijas, Benalmádena, Marbella and Fuengirola.

One of the historical Málagan property developers in Myramar, which celebrates its 60th anniversary this year. Its CEO, Miguel Rodríguez (…) says that the company is currently working on four real estate developments in Mijas, Fuengirola and Benalmádena involving around 200 homes (…).

Meanwhile, Rafael Molina, Commercial Director at Grupo Ansan, also corroborates that the real estate sector is currently enjoying good times in the province (…) “we have developments underway in the Carlos Haya area, in Teatinos and in Puerto de la Torre, where we have already sold a significant volume”, he said.

Two other national companies that have set their sights on Málaga are Aelca and Neinor Homes. Jaime Pérez is the Director of Aelca in Andalucía and explains to this newspaper that “we are absolutely convinced about working in Málaga and we have land on which to build 3,200 homes in the province over the next four or five years”. In Málaga capital, his firm has started to market the first phase of an urbanisation in Hacienda Cabello comprising 128 homes – the total project involves 433 units – , they are going to start work in Bizcochero Capitán, they acquired the Flex building on the Cádiz Road and they are going to start to sell 130 homes and a retail area at the end of the year. They also have another project behind Vialia comprising 144 homes and a hotel. Moreover, they have projects in Mijas and Estepona.

Meanwhile, sources at Neinor explain that (…) “Málaga attracts domestic and international demand alike due to its location, infrastructure and climate (…)”. That firm’s portfolio of projects is also very extensive. At the moment, it has 20 plots and 2,166 homes in the province, which corresponds to a turnover of €780 million. In 2018, it is going to launch the sale of seven new projects, comprising 1,076 homes in total, in Casares, Estepona, Benahavís and Málaga capital (…).

Property developers are investing millions in Málaga because they know that there is demand there. Last year, permits were granted for 5,000 homes and, taking into account the projects that all of these companies have in the pipeline, that number looks set to soar over the next few years, which will generate more employment and wealth in the area.

Original story: Málaga Hoy (by Ángel Recio)

Translation: Carmel Drake

Servihabitat: Rental Yields Now Exceed 10% in Madrid, Cataluña, Balearic & Canary Islands

18 December 2017 – Expansión

“The Spanish residential market has been showing clear signs of recovery in 2017 and all indications are that the rate of growth will be even higher in 2018. The number of house sales will rise by 16.9% this year, to exceed 472,000 operations, and by another 18.3% next year, which means that we will see the sale of almost 560,000 units”. In this way, Servihabitat summarises the trend in the residential sector, which is enjoying a sweet moment.

The key factors contributing to the boost in demand include: the growth of the number of solvent buyers; policies by financial institutions to grant more loans; the progress in terms of the construction of new homes; and the increase in investor interest – in the case of holiday homes, investors now account for 19% of all operations.

This last aspect is fundamental for understanding the boom in the most consolidated areas of Spain. According to data from Servihabitat, the average annual yield from buying a home to let is 10%: 5.5% from the gross rental yield and 4.5% from the appreciation in the property value over 12 months, which the real estate servicer calculates in its forecasts at the end of 2017.

This data tallies with the 9.8% calculated by the Bank of Spain. The difference is that Servihabitat breaks down the yield by region and province. The regions in which it is more profitable to acquire a home to let are: the Community of Madrid, (13.3% gross p.a.), Cataluña (13.1%), the Balearic Islands (11.4%) and the Canary Islands (10.8%).

They are the only four regions where yields exceed the national average, which gives us an idea of the importance that the two largest cities and residential investment along the coast play in the overall calculation for the Spanish market. It comes as no surprise that the most profitable provinces are: Barcelona (13.7%), Madrid (13.3%), Las Palmas (12.4%), the Balearic Islands (11.4%), Málaga (10.1%) and Santa Cruz de Tenerife (9.5%). In other words, the six largest real estate markets in Spain (together with Alicante), where demand from overseas buyers is boosting the sector and the cranes are back on the horizon. Overseas buyers now account for 17.4% of all purchases or one in six. That percentage rises to 47.6% in the case of Alicante, 40.8% in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 33.7% in the Balearic Islands, 32.8% in Girona, 31.4% in Málaga and 22.6% in Las Palmas.

They are clearly the “hot” areas of the real estate sector, but they are not the only ones to be offering high returns. Other examples include: Salamanca (8.4%), Guadalajara (7.8%), Murcia (7.7%), Cantabria (7.6%), Valladolid (7.5%) and Lleida (7.5%), amongst others. This positive trend will become even more marked in 2018 (…).

In the Catalan capital, yields in the district of Sants-Montjuic are off the scale, with an average gross annual return of no less than 32.9% (5.3% from the rental yield and 27.6% from an appreciation in property prices). It is followed by Eixample (26.8%), Gràcia (25.9%), Sant Martí (25.6%), Horta-Guinardó (24.9%) and Nou Barris (21%). The centre (Ciutat Vella) yields 19%, and the exclusive district of Sarrià-Sant Gervasi 13.2%

In Madrid, yields in the Centre amount to almost 20% (19.7%), followed by Salamanca (19.2%) and Chamberí (18.8%) (…).

Despite this inflation in prices and yields, “there is no risk of a bubble in either city”, according to Cabanillas. “The problem is not speculative; the price rises are resulting from the pressure in terms of demand for the use of second homes and tourist accommodation. The risk is that gentrification will force young people out of city centres, but there is no risk of over-financing”, says the CEO of Servihabitat.

Original story: Expansión (by Juanma Lamet)

Translation: Carmel Drake

Europe GRI 2017: 11-12 September, Paris

12 July 2017 – Press Release

Aura REE & GRI Club have come together for Europe GRI. Senior real estate investors, developers, lenders, asset owners, major corporates and planners connect, share ideas and strengthen relationships. The collegial discussions enable you to interact and engage – much like an after-dinner conversation in your own living room. Identify like-minded peers, build relationships, and continue the conversation afterwards.

Members and non-members are welcome. If you would find it useful to join your peers at this exclusively senior-level club meeting, you can register here.

Register | Programme

Confirmed Participants include:

Brian Betel, Managing Partner, ASG Iberia Advisors
Steven Broch,  CIO, Aerium Group
Hunt Doering, Managing Director, Baupost Group International
Michael Zerda, Managing Director, Blackstone
Dale Lattanzio, Managing Partner, DRC Capital

Pedro Abella Langa, General Manager, H.I.G. Capital
Gregory Clerc, Managing Director, Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Duncan MacPherson, Managing Director & Head of Debt, Starwood Capital Europe Advisers
Cristina Pérez Liz, Managing Director, Kennedy Wilson
Norbert Müller, Managing Director, Deutsche Pfandbriefbank

Manuel Holgado, Partner, VKronos Investment Group
Tom Rowley, Managing Director, Angelo, Gordon Europe
Trish Barrigan, Senior Partner, Benson Elliot Capital Management
Michael Abel, Managing Director, TPG
Tavis Cannel,  Managing Director, Goldman Sachs International

Manuel Enrich, Investor Relations Director, Sareb
Miguel Pereda, CEO, Grupo Lar
Nic Fox, Partner & Head of Middle Europe, Europa Capital
Fraser Denton, Managing Director, UK & European Investments
David Matheson, SVP, MD Director Investments-Europe, Oxford Properties Group

Jeffrey Dishner, Senior Managing Director,  Starwood Capital Europe Advisers
Chris Evans, Founding Partner, Hamilton Hotel Partners
Ekaterina Avdonina, Managing Director, Delin Capital Asset Management
Christian Nickels-Teske, Head of Treasury Europe, Prologis Ian Worboys, CEO, P3 Logistic Parks 

Peter Cole, Chief Investment Officer, Hammerson
Carrie Hiebeler, Senior Investment Officer, Ventas, Inc.
Gordon Black, Senior Managing Director, Co-Head Europe, Heitman
Gregory Lanter,  Vice President Global Development, Club Méditerranée

Sessions Include:

Residential in Spain – Is product scarcity solved by the acquisition of developers?
NPLs – The last chance saloon?
Retail in Spain – Primary vs. Secondary cities
Co-Investment – As deals mature, will partners get their hands burnt?
European Gateway Cities – Where’s the smart money heading?
The Global Shift Towards Mediterranean Hospitality – New regions or new money?
Modern Retail – Convenience, leisure, technology or community?
Residential Alternatives – Are great operating partners essential or overrated?
What is Real Estate These days? – Financial asset or a service?

For event participation, contact:

Loredana Carollo | Club Director Spain
+44 (0) 20 7121 5089 | loredana.carollo@griclub.org | www.griclub.org

Original story: Press Release

Edited by: Carmel Drake

C&W: Spain Will Be A Key Country For RE Lenders In 2016

22 February 2016 – Mis Oficinas

Spain will continue to represent a very attractive market for entities wanting to lend money to the real estate sector in 2016, according to “The European Lending Trends” report published by Cushman & Wakefield, the global leader in real estate services. This conclusion has been drawn on the basis of surveys completed by 60 European lenders, who contributed €80,000 million in loans to the real estate sector in 2015.

11% of the entities that responded to the questionnaire expressed a clear interest in granting loans to (companies in) Spain over the coming months. That figure is higher than the 9% obtained in the previous report compiled by Cushman & Wakefield. This upward swing in Spain is the largest increase recorded in Europe.

Meanwhile, the survey shows that average financing conditions have also improved in Spain. In Madrid, average leverage levels are close to 59% (previously they stood at 54%), whereby surpassing those recorded in comparable cities – Milan stood at 57% and Lisbon at 50%. Similarly, average margins have reduced, but Madrid still generates returns of 185 bps, well above those recorded in the established markets of central and northern Europe. In the previous report, average margins in Madrid amounted to 210 bps.

According to Pablo Kindelán, Associate in the Capital Markets team at Cushman & Wakefield, “this report confirms a trend that is mirroring real estate investment in Spain, with significant interest from investors, record levels of activity and decreasing yields. The improvement in financing conditions highlighted in this report can only serve to facilitate investment activity”.

According to the report, average loan-to-value, LTV, ratios in Europe range between 55% and 66%, with the highest ratios recorded in Frankfurt and Paris (64%), followed by London (63%). The debt funds are willing to lend at higher LTVs than those typically granted by commercial banks and institutions, and only a few lenders want to expand through speculative developments.

In terms of margins, there are significant variations in the averages by country. In this sense, Stockholm records margins of 130 bps, Frankfurt and Paris generate margins of 140 bps, whilst Lisbon registers margins of 250 bps. Milan is the only other city (in Europe) where margins exceed 200 bps. (…).

Original story: Mis Oficinas

Translation: Carmel Drake

Real Estate Debt Decreases To €41,000M

21 December 2015 – El Economista

The clean up of the financial institutions and the reactivation of the economy are leading to marked decreases in the banks’ real estate arrears. At the end of September, loans granted to property developers had decreased to €41,621 million, a figure that has not been seen since the middle of 2010, when the process to restructure the sector began with the merger of the majority of the saving banks.

In just nine months, the volume of insolvencies relating to property has reduced by almost €13,000 million and the default rate has fallen to 30.6%.

Some of the decrease is due to the sale of unpaid loans that several entities have been carrying out to reduce their non-performing assets. These portfolios have been acquired by investment funds with significant discounts on their nominal values, with the hope of recovering the money and, thus, generating sizeable profits. Another factor that has reduced the amount of property developer debt is the exchange of debt for homes and land by the banks to lighten customer charges and to collect a portion of the loans granted.

Since the outbreak of the crisis, real estate financing has been weighing down on the Spanish financial sector. The number of insolvencies peaked in 2013, at €70,000 million, excluding the volume of loans transferred to Sareb by the entities that received state aid.

According to the data published on Friday, another one of the sectors hardest hit by the crisis, construction, has also been experiencing a significant decrease in its defaulting customers. After decreasing by €3,000 million this year, they now amount to €13,300 million, also returning to 2010 levels, and with a default rate of less than 30%.

The decrease in the default rate is happening in all of the production sectors, as well as in the mortgage sector. As a result, the total volume of unpaid loans being financed by the banks, savings banks and credit cooperatives decreased to €136,000 million in October, a volume similar to that recorded at the end of 2011. In nine months, this amount has decreased by €31,000 million. The default rate of the system as a whole has reduced to 10.6%, its lowest level since 2013, just after the European bailout.

The volume of loans granted by the banks, savings banks and credit cooperatives decreased by 3.5% between October 2014 and the same month this year, according to data published by the Bank of Spain.

The volume of financing granted to companies and families increased to just over €1.2 billion.

Original story: El Economista (by Fernando Tadeo)

Translation: Carmel Drake

Blackstone To Offer Debt Forgiveness On Spanish Mortgages

1 July 2015 – Bloomberg

Blackstone Group LP is seeking to restructure some of the €6.4 billion Spanish home loans it bought at a discount to help borrowers meet repayments, according to three people with knowledge of the matter.

The world’s largest private equity firm is offering to cut outstanding debt or allow homeowners to hand back the keys and walk away from loans, said two of the people, who asked not to be identified because the matter is private. Blackstone holds the mortgages of 40,000 homeowners in Spain after buying the debt for €3.6 billion from struggling savings bank CatalunyaCaixa.

Blackstone can avoid the time and expense of repossessing homes by helping borrowers find ways to continue paying their mortgages, something that is more difficult for Spanish banks because of provisioning requirements and central bank regulations. Avoiding evictions may also mute political claims that private investors are coming to Spain to take people’s homes away.

“If you are struggling to pay your mortgage, you are undoubtedly better off having Blackstone as your creditor than a traditional Spanish bank,” said Juan Villen, Head of Mortgage Services at property website Idealista.com. “Blackstone can be much more flexible.”

Andrew Dowler, a London-based spokesman for Blackstone, declined to comment when called by Bloomberg News.

Loan Portfolio

The subject of Spaniards losing their homes is a hot-button political issue, with power in the Madrid and Barcelona town halls swinging to parties that pledged to ban evictions during municipal elections in May. The Platform Against Evictions activist group organized demonstrations outside Blackstone’s offices in New York, London, Madrid and Barcelona in March, and posted a video on its website accusing the firm of intending to evict “en masse.”

Anticipa, Blackstone’s mortgage servicing unit, took over the management of the loan portfolio two months ago, with about 75 percent of the debt classified as under-performing or non-performing, according to the people. It will take about seven years to restructure the debt, they said.

Spanish home prices have fallen by more than 42% since the peak in 2007, according to Tinsa, Spain’s largest homes appraiser. That has left about a fifth of borrowers in negative equity, according to Villen. Lenders in the country foreclosed on more than 70,000 properties in 2014, with Andalusia, Catalunya and Valencia hit the hardest, according to the National Statistics Institute, which began compiling data at that start of that year.

Post Keys

Blackstone’s plan to allow homeowners to post the keys and walk away from their debts, a legal process known as “dation in payment”, is seen as a significant step by analysts.

“Unlike in the U.S. and other European countries, Spanish law stipulates a bank can foreclose on a home and still pursue the borrower for the rest of his life if the value of the loan is higher than the price that the bank forecloses at,” Villen said. “The offer of “dation in payment” is a refreshing way of approaching borrowers that are in negative equity.”

The private equity company will only foreclose on “strategic defaulters” who can pay but refuse to, while homeowners at risk of social exclusion, which represent about 3% of Blackstone’s portfolio, will be allowed to remain in their property paying subsidized rents, the people said.

Original story: Bloomberg (by Sharon R. Smyth)

Edited by: Carmel Drake