Tag: financing

CaixaBank Injects Another €1,900M Into BuildingCenter

6 April 2015 – Expansión

Over the last two years, the bank has invested €4,400 million in its subsidiary, which owns properties that have been foreclosed (by CaixaBank) following the non-payment of debt.

The property sector is still taking its toll on CaixaBank. In 2014, the entity had to inject another €1,900 million in BuildingCenter, the company in which the bank places all of the real estate assets that it forecloses in exchange for (the cancelation of) debt.

This new contribution of funds responds to the need for BuildingCenter to restore the equity balance of its balance sheet, due to the losses generated by these assets, which are managed and marketed by ServiHabitat, the real estate platform owned by TPG (51%) and CaixaBank (49%). BuildingCenter generated a loss of €1,280 million in 2014.

Typically, the bank chaired by Isidro Fainé, rebalances BuildingCenter’s (balance sheet) through capital increases. However, this time, the €1,900 million has been injected into the Catalan group’s bad bank in the form of a “non-refundable monetary contribution from the sole shareholder”. This means that the money forms part of its restricted reserve, and therefore, constitutes the own funds of the company, just like its capital. In 2013, CaixaBank also used this formula to transfer another €750 million to the real estate company.

The BuildingCenter’s last capital increase was also conducted in 2013, for €1,250 million, plus an issue premium of €500 million. Therefore, if we sum the three contributions, CaixaBank has invested €4,400 million in total in BuildingCenter in just two years.

In parallel, over the last two years, the bank has made provisions for the impairment (of its investment in) BuildingCenter amounting to €2,233 million. In 2013, it made provisions amounting to €1,101 million and last year, it made provisions for a further €1,132 million. The NPL ratio of the real estate company is 58.7%.

Financing

According to CaixaBank’s annual report, the financing granted by the bank to its subsidiary BuildingCenter, amounted to €9,268 million at 31 December 2014, i.e. 16% more (than a year earlier).

In total, the net book value of the BuildingCenter’s real estate assets amounted to €6,515 million, i.e. 8% more than in 2013. 73% of that figure related to properties that the company had foreclosed from construction companies and property developers in exchange for the non-payment of debt.

Homes resulting from the foreclosure of individual mortgages accounted for 15% of the portfolio, amounting to €1,000 million.

In 2014, CaixaBank (successfully) marketed 23,400 properties, including sales and rentals, for €2,512 million, i.e. 15% more (than a year earlier). The occupancy rate of the rental portfolio amounts to 87%.

Finally, last year, BuildingCenter took over General de Inversiones Tormes and the company VIP Gestión de Inmuebles, which it inherited from Banco de Valencia.

Original story: Expansión (by S. Saborit)

Translation: Carmel Drake

Housing: Completions Exceed New Starts For 7th Year

30 March 2015 – Cinco Días

It is not easy to measure how robust activity is in the real estate sector. But if there is one indicator that has been taken into account historically to assess the sector’s health, it has been the volume of housing starts. That is where the problems begin. The permits that developers have to obtain to enable them to begin construction work did not always used to correspond to the exact number of homes that were built in the end, and so the gross figure that was published, had to be carefully extracted.

And this market suffers from another peculiarity. Since house building is a slow process, which tends to take between 12 and 24 months, it is not easy to halt developments that are already underway, even once it has been established that most of the homes under construction may not be sold upon completion.

These two aspects help us to understand what has happened in recent years, when we analyse the data for housing starts and completions. If we take the year 2000 as a starting point, when nobody doubted that the real estate market was heading towards a boom of as yet unknown proportions, the number of house starts began to open up a sizeable gap over the number of completed homes, of more than 40%, approximately. The former moved in the vicinity of 500,000 homes, whilst the latter remained at just over 350,000.

Right after that, house production volumes climbed to more than 600,000 per year, spurred on by demand for a primary residence by one of the largest population cohorts in Spain’s recent history (the baby boomers), strong employment and the almost unlimited access to very cheap financing over almost “eternal periods”.

Thus, the gap between the two variables continued to grow until 2008, when everything came to an abrupt end. In fact, that year closed with 264,795 housing starts, when just a year before the figure had amounted to no fewer than 651,427. In 12 months, activity had collapsed by 59%, but the majority of the construction work underway continued to run its course (only a minority of developments were left unfinished even during the worst years of the crisis), which explains why since then, the number of finished homes has exceeded the number of house starts, year after year, for seven years in a row.

Shortage of new supply

In 2014, this trend was almost reversed, but in the end it was not. Last year, construction of 34,873 houses began, which represented a slight increase of 1.7% compared with the figure a year before, but still a long way below the 865,561 homes that developers began building in 2006, during the height of the boom. This means that today, the number of homes being constructed accounts for barely 4.02% of the volumes that were being constructed during the economic boom. Moreover, the figure is slightly lower than the number of homes that were completed last year (46,795), which in turn represented 7.29% of the number of homes that were finished in 2007 (the peak of the series), when 641,419 homes were completed.

All indications are that this year will be the first year that the two curves cross again, in such a way that more homes are started than are completed. In fact, if this does not happen, there could be problems due to a shortage of stock of new homes in places where the stock has already been absorbed and demand is beginning to intensify. Another important indicator for the sector, namely the consumption of cement, also indicates the same trend. During the first two months of this year, cement consumption has increased by 6.6%, to amount to almost 1.6 million tonnes, which corroborates the theory that the cranes are returning, albeit in a selective way.

Another business niche, which is key to the recovery of the construction sector, but which does not seem to stop decreasing is: refurbishments. According to figures from the Spanish Confederation of the Construction Product Manufacturers Association (Cepco), 2014 closed with 22,428 permits for the renovation or refurbishment of homes, down 0.80% on the previous year. And the number of building permits barely grew (rising by only 2.8%).

Original story: Cinco Días (by Raquel Díaz Guijarro)

Translation: Carmel Drake

Andalucía’s Housing Sector Finally Shows Signs Of Recovery

17 March 2015 – Cinco Días

The region has joined the recovery later due to its poor employment situation.

The autonomous community of Andalucía was undoubtedly one of the hardest hit by the burst of the real estate bubble, due to the weight that holiday homes have traditionally held in the region. Attracted by the influence that the areas of Marbella and the Costa del Sol have had on the rest of the Andalucían coast for decades, Andalucía was no exception and also joined the construction craze and the boom in prices.

In fact, according to figures published by the local Government, led by the socialist Susana Díaz, based on census data compiled by the National Institute for Statistics (INE) and estimates from the Ministry for Development, the total stock of real estate in Andalucía currently amounts to around 4.5 million homes.

If we compare this figure with data from 2001 (population census numbers and housing data are compiled every 10 years), the stock of housing has increased by more than one million homes, which represents a rise of more than 25% in relative terms. This means that, just like in the rest of the country, a significant stock of unsold new homes has accumulated (in Andalucía); some sources estimate (that the stock amounts to) 150,000 properties and others, such as the Spanish Confederation of the Construction Product Manufacturers Association (Cepco) estimated (that the stock amounted to) 114,000 in 2009.

What has happened since then? As in the rest of the country, between 2009 and 2013, construction activity (in Andalucía) virtually ceased, prices experienced the largest slump in recent history and house sales dropped to historical lows, dampened by the poor employment situation and the closure of the credit tap.

Foreign buyers

In this context, sales did not begin to take off again until price reductions started to decelerate and the flow of financing started to slowly open up; and since then, sales have evolved unevenly in each region.

Six years on and Andalucía is not known for being one of the regions where house sales have grown the most or where cranes have begun to appear again, since it is still weighed down by the employment situation, which has not improved there as it has done in other autonomous regions. And this is the case, regardless of the statistics that we analyse.

If we take the most recent statistics (published last Thursday) as a benchmark, which were prepared by the Ministry of Development using data from notaries, house sales in Andalucía grew by 21% during the last quarter of 2014 with respect to the same period in the previous year. These figures are roughly equivalent to the national average (19.5%), however according to the Ministry of Development, seven regions experienced increases that exceeded those recorded in Andalucía.

Meanwhile, if we consider the statistical figures compiled by INE, which obtains its data from the property registers, then house sales in Andalucía increased by just 0.3% year-on-year in 2014, compared with an average rate of increase across Spain of 2.2%. This modest growth in Andalucía contrasts with the recoveries of 18.5% and 12% in terms of real estate sales experienced in the Balearic and Canary Islands, respectively, two other regions that are heavily influenced by holiday homes and purchases by foreigners. Even so, the surplus of new homes in Andalucía had decreased by 44.5% to amount to 63,250 new homes as of last September, according to Cepco.

And where is Andalucía in terms of prices? Again, it worth considering the two sets of statistics that are regarded as ‘official’: those published by the Ministry of Development and INE. The department led by Ana Pastor recently published its price statistics relating to the entire year 2014 (compiled on the basis of appraisal values) and although they showed that house prices (in Spain) increased by an average of 0.5% on a quarter-by-quarter basis (the last quarter in 2014 compared with the previous three months), on an annual basis (fourth quarter 2014 compared with the same period in 2013), the most recent figure was negative, with house prices decreasing by 0.3% at the end of last year.

Nevertheless, Andalucía recorded positive rates in both cases, although the increases were very modest: 0.4% QoQ and 0.2% YoY. By province, five ended 2014 with lower prices than they had recorded a year before. Meanwhile, according to INE’s data (compiled using figures from notaries), Andalucía closed 2014 with an average annual price increase of 1.8%, just one (basis) point below the highest figures, which were recorded in Madrid and Valencia, with annual increases of 2.9% and 2.8%, respectively.

Industry experts agree that the recovery in the real estate market has started later in Andalucía than in other regions, but consider that now is the moment to take advantage of the ‘pull of tourism’ to construct there once again, since there is demand, and that will generate activity and employment.

Original story: Cinco Días (by Raquel Díaz Guijarro)

Translation: Carmel Drake

INE: Mortgages Increased By 1.6% In 2014

27 February 2015 – Expansión

The number of mortgages granted for homes increased by 1.6% in 2014 with respect to the previous year, to 202,954, which meant that the mortgage market returned to positive growth after seven consecutive years of decreases; and so a change in the sector’s cycle begins.

The signing of new mortgages for the purchase of homes rose by 1.6% in 2014 to reach 202,954, the first increase after seven years of decline, according to extracts from the Mortgage Statistics published by INE today.

The number of new mortgages had not increased on a year-on-year basis since 2007, a year in which more than a million more mortgage contracts than last year were signed – 1,238,890, to be exact – therefore, despite the recovery that appears to taking place in the sector, the market is still well below its pre-crisis figures.

The signing of mortgages has fallen steadily since 2007: in 2013, the number decreased by 27.1%, whilst in 2012, 2011 and 2008, they fell by more than 32%. In 2009, they dropped by 22.2% and in 2010 and 2007, the declines were more moderate, with decreases of 6.6% and 7.7%, respectively.

Last year the size of the average mortgage taken out over homes also grew, by 2.1% to €102,130, whilst the total amount of capital loaned rose by 3.8% during the course of the year to reach €20,727 million.

In December 2014 alone, the number of new mortgages recorded in the property register grew by 28.9%, compared with the same month in 2013, whereby completing seven consecutive months of increases. During the last month of the year, 15,962 contracts were signed in total, for an average value of €124,059, also higher than a year earlier.

Overall, in 2014, the total number of mortgaged properties increased by 11.7%, to amount to 314,018. Of those, 22,342 were urban (+12.5%) and 1,054 were rural (-3.2%).

For Fernando Encinar, Head of Research at Idealista, “this increase in the number of mortgages granted represents good news for the sector. Banks have started to hang the “mortgage” sign in their branches once again and demand is beginning to respond, encouraged by the economic recovery and the suppression of prices”.

Manuel Gandarias, Director of the Research Unit at pisos.com offered a similar view: “Everything seems to indicate that the mortgage market will reactivate briskly. Following the significant decreases observed since 2007, the data in 2014 represents the first annual increase in the granting of loans, and the second half of the year really stood out in terms of growth”.

“Similarly, the average size of mortgages has experienced an increase, which is indicative that the banks have recovered the financing role that the sector was has been asking for”, he continued.

“Competitiveness between entities to win the best clients has returned to the mortgage sphere and offers will continue to attract sales and purchases. Everyone will have to pay attention to the evolution of Euribor and the movements of the European Central Bank (ECB), whose measures have accelerated this opportunity. Although the future looks brighter, we should remember that this is the principle of stabilisation. Financing is a fundamental element for families and it is a clear indicator of the process of improvement.

Andalucía, Madrid and Cataluña lead the increases

As usual, the autonomous regions with the highest volumes of mortgages granted in 2014 were Andalucía (36,860), Madrid (35,461) and Cataluña (30,261).

The regions in which the most capital was lent to constitute mortgages were Madrid (€5,134.9 million), Cataluña (€3,439.1 million) and Andalucía (€3,219.0 million).

Original story: Expansión

Translation: Carmel Drake

The Average Home In 2014: 97m2, Second Hand, With Sea Views

11 February 2015 – Cinco Días

Last year, home ownership was yet another symptom of the start of the recovery of the global economy. In fact, the largest investment made by households over the course of their lives can only be re-actived once the households themselves perceive that their income is going to be stable and steady over the medium term and (in the event that they need financing) when they have access to credit.

And those are, in the opinion of all of the experts, the two variables (employment and financing) that started operating again in 2014 after years of very tough crisis and apathy from scarce solvent demand. According to the figures published this morning by the National Institute of Statistics (Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas or INE), prepared using information from regional property records, last year, 319,389 homes were sold, i.e. 2.2% more than in 2013 and the first increase since 2010.

89.7% of the homes that were purchased were unsubsidised (free), compared with the remaining 10.3% that were subsidised (VPO). Sales of unsubsidised homes increased by 3.2%, whereas sales of subsidised homes continued their decline, dropping by 6.2% in 2014.

Another key finding to come out of the information is that sales of second hand homes increased their prominence gradually and at an unstoppable rate during the crisis. Thus, whilst the norm during the boom was to sell almost as many new homes as second hand homes, last year only 37.4% of the homes sold were new builds, compared with 62.6% that were “used”. And again, whilst sales of the former decreased by 16.9% in 2014, the volume of second hand homes sold last year increased by 18.4% over the previous year.

Size and type

In terms of the regions where the most house sales were recorded, INE quantifies it in two ways. Firstly, it extracts the data from the property registers of each autonomous region and then it measures the volume of transactions per 100,000 inhabitants.

Thus, the regions with the greatest activity were Valencia, with 1,182 house sales per 100,000 inhabitants, followed by the Balearic Islands, with 1,043 and the Canary Islands with 1,015. In absolute terms, the Balearic Islands, Navarra, the Canary Islands, the País Vasco and Madrid were the five autonomous regions that experienced the greatest increases in real estate sales.

With all of these statistics, plus those provided to Cinco Días by Tinsa, about the type and size of homes sold last year, we can conclude that the profile of the typical house would be: an unsubsidised, second hand apartment or multi-family home (which accounted for 67% of the market), with an average surface area of 97 square metres and, in many cases, with sea views; since the typical home would likely be located in one of the territories that recorded the highest transaction volumes.

The information provided by the appraiser also shows that this best selling home would have been sold for an average price of €136,212, which represents a cumulative depreciation of 38% with respect to the average prices paid for a typical home in 2007, the year in which property prices reached their peak. Tinsa estimates that the average mortgage taken out last year amounted to €100,782, which was 32.3% lower than the average amount borrowed during the boom years.

Original story: Cinco Días (by Raquel Díaz Guijarro)

Translation: Carmel Drake