Spain’s Banking Sector Fears ECB Stress Tests

27 November 2017 – Voz Pópuli

Spain’s banks are facing a new perfect storm, albeit on paper. In an already difficult scenario in which the financial institutions are having to adapt to the new provisioning requirements (IFRS 9), they are also having to deal with the upcoming stress tests that are being prepared for 2018.

If we take an analogy by way of example – what is happening in the banking sector is equivalent to what would happen to a student if a decision was taken to change the language of his/her class and then a few months later force him/her to take an entrance exam in that new language. The entities have gone to the wire to try and persuade the authorities to examine them in their native language (based on their current provisions) but the European Banking Authority (EBA) and the ECB have outright refused.

The new provisions mean a radical change in the model. Until now, the banks recognise losses when their loans are impaired, in other words, when non-payments begin. Under the new system, the banks will have to anticipate advance signs of impairment.

A report from the consultancy firm Alvarez & Marsal estimates that the potential impact of the new IFRS 9 provisions on the stress tests is 465 basis points. More than half of that amount will come about in the first of the three years covered by the exercise, which reflects that from now on, crises are going to hit banks faster.

Impact

If we apply these calculations to the latest official figures from the sector (published on Friday as part of the EBA’s transparency exercise), the result in the loss of one-third of the regulatory capital (CET 1). Even so, they are stress test scenarios and so will not necessarily happen.

KutxaBank and Bankia were the entities with the largest buffers in the last year of transparency, with more than 14% of capital, although the group chaired by José Ignacio Gorigiolzarri will see its figure reduce once it completes its takeover of BMN. They are followed in the ranking by Unicaja, Abanca, Sabadell and Liberbank.

Another finding from the data published as part of the transparency exercise is that Spain’s banks have moved away from those of other peripheral countries (Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Greece) in terms of delinquency.

Original story: Voz Pópuli (by Jorge Zuloaga)

Translation: Carmel Drake

EU Agrees To Create National Bad Banks To Assume Doubtful Debt

11 April 2017 – RTVE

On Friday (7 April),at a meeting in La Valeta, Malta, the Economic and Finance Ministers of the European Union agreed to back the creation of national bad banks, which will take on doubtful debt from the banks and whereby try to solve the problem of the “high” level of toxic assets in the European financial sector.

These non-performing loans, whose value amounts to almost €1 billion (equivalent to 7% of the EU’s GDP), account for 5.4% of the entire European credit portfolio, on average (in Spain, they account for 5.9%). Of particular concern is the high proportion in Italy (16.4%).

The Vice-President of the European Commission for the Euro and Social Dialogue, Valdis Dombroviskis, said that there had been “widespread support for the development of a project regarding how to design a national asset management company” and he encouraged ministers “to make use of the experience regarding asset management companies already in operation in some member states”.

In this sense, he explained that the EU Executive will work on a document that will serve as a guide for the creation of bad banks at the national level, which will take on these toxic products. When asked about the possibility of launching such an entity at the European level, the Latvian remarked that “most of the instruments are already in the hands of the member States” and that “loans are issued in accordance with national legislation”.

The ECB used the bad bank in Spain by way of example

Meanwhile, the Vice-President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Vitor Constancio, highlighted that the preparation of this plan by Brussels was a “very important” conclusion to emerge from the meeting. He gave the example of the good results in cases such as Spain, through the ‘Company for the Management of Assets Proceeding from the Bank Restructuring’ (‘Sociedad de Gestión de Activos Procedentes de la Reestructuración Bancaria’ or Sareb). (…).

Dombrovskis added that Brussels is also exploring initiatives to facilitate the development of secondary markets for doubtful loans and in this sense, stated that “comparable and high-quality” data are “invaluable” because investors “have to know what they are buying”.

De Guindos defended the Spanish model

The Spanish Minister for the Economy, Luis de Guindos, defended the creation of a bad bank for the non-peforming loans of Europe’s banks as a solution that would eliminate “the root” of this problem, based on the model that Spain has put into practice for its real estate assets with Sareb. (…).

De Guindos underlined that it is also “very important” to value these assets properly and ensure that the provisions to cover them “are at the correct level”. Also, there must be a “fast-track legal system (in the EU) so that lenders are able to foreclose loans”.

The option of creating a bad bank was proposed by the European Banking Authority (EBA), which presented Spain’s Sareb by way of example of the benefits of these types of structure. Sareb was created to provide an exit for toxic real estate assets, but it is not supported by all parties.

Original story: RTVE

Translation: Carmel Drake

Sareb Supports EBA’s Proposal To Create EU Bad Bank

7 February 2017 – Cinco Días

Last week, the European Banking Authority proposed the creation of a continent-wide bad bank and that initiative has now been approved by the European Central Bank. Brussels can also count on support from Spain, a country that, to a certain extent, has become an essential reference point following the rescue of the Spanish banking sector and the creation of Sareb, the national bad bank.

“The EBA’s proposals echo a lot of our experiences, as well as the lessons learned during the process”, says Íker Beraza (pictured above), Deputy General Director of Finance at Sareb (…).

Sareb allowed Spain’s banks to free themselves from non-performing loans amounting to €50,700 million. It is hoped that this will able to be replicated on a European scale. In Italy alone, NPLs amount to €276,000 million, and in France and Spain, the volume still amounts to more than €140,000 million. In total, Europe’s banks have more than €1 billion in doubtful loans.

The definitive clean up of these balance sheets has become an obsession in Brussels in recent months. And the plans to find the most appropriate way of doing this are accelerating. (…).

A working group between the 28 EU member countries, operating under the chairmanship of the French Treasury, has been debating for six months regarding possible solutions for putting an end to the crisis that is weakening the financial sector, reducing the availability of credit and hampering growth.

Like in previous phases of the crisis, the heated dispute between countries in the north and south is reducing the chances of reaching an agreement. But an air of urgency is starting to dominate and the EBA’s proposal has brought to light buried contracts, with the possibility of transferring up to €250,000 million in non-performing loans to the European bad bank.

Last Friday, high profile representatives from the European Commission, the ECB, central banks and Treasuries, attended a seminar, behind closed doors, regarding “the crisis of the non-performing loans”, organised in Brussels by the Bruegel study centre.

Beraza attended, on behalf of Sareb, as one of the most prominent speakers. “The EBA’s proposal is interesting and we can share important lessons that we have learnt since 2012”, said Beraza.

Beraza said that experience in Spain is proof that “the transfer of assets is a very efficient tool and that in Spain, to date, it has worked out 20 times cheaper than recapitalisation”.

Sareb’s Director considers that the creation of a similar entity on the European scale “would give the system the robustness it needs to handle crises, which have been shown themselves to be almost always systemic, as well as contagious from one country to the next”.

Sources at the European Commission say that the initiative could begin with a first step based on coordination between the national bad banks. The ECB is also keen to establish a common model upfront for the creation of all national banks in the Eurozone.

Moreover, the EBA’s proposal rules out the mutualisation of the potential losses of the European bad bank, which would be borne by the national authorities. This safeguard was introduced to stop Berlin from vetoing the project. (…).

“It is clear”, said Beraza, “that the bad bank model is here to stay in Europe, as an effective tool to be used in the time of crisis”.

Original story: Cinco Días (by Bernardo de Miguel)

Translation: Carmel Drake

The EBA Lobbies For The Creation Of A European Bad Bank

31 January 2017 – El Economista

On Monday, the European Banking Authority (EBA) urged the European Union (EU) authorities to establish an alternative investment fund to acquire delinquent loans from the European financial sector, with the aim of stimulating economic growth in the region.

In a speech in Luxembourg, the President of the EBA, Andrea Ernie, highlighted that tackling the high level of delinquent debt in the EU – which stands at approximately €1 billion – is an “urgent and viable” issue, according to Reuters.

In this sense, Enria indicated that EU banks may sell some of their non-performing loans to an EU “asset management” company.

Enria proposes assigning an agreed “real economic value” to the non-performing loans sold and for the investment fund that buys them to act as a “bad bank”, given that it would have the obligation to dispose of the assets within three years at their real economic value, rather than at market price.

“If that value is not achieved, the bank must bear the impact at the market price and a public recapitalization must be carried out with all the conditions that accompany the process”, said the President of the EBA.

In this regard, the Managing Director of the European Stability Mechanism (MEDE), Klaus Regling, welcomed the EBA’s initiative and added that the proposal does not involve sharing banking risks between member states, which is something that Germany has firmly opposed in recent years.

“It is likely that the public sector will have to play a role”, said Regling at the event, where he also said that the “bad bank” should aim to acquire up to €250,000 million of non-performing loans.

Original story: El Economista

Translation: Carmel Drake

Spain’s Banks Recover But Its Toxic Assets Remain

9 January 2017 – Tribune

Hit by a severe crisis several years ago, Spain’s banking sector has recovered but at a cost as thousands are laid off and it struggles to get rid of toxic assets.

“The system is closer to putting most of the crisis legacies behind it,” said analysts at the International Monetary Fund in charge of Spain in a recent report. Still, the ghosts of a crisis that saw the European Union bail out the sector have recently been revived as Italy suffers a similar predicament, with the State having to rescue Monte dei Paschi di Siena, the world’s oldest bank.

The EU lent €41 billion ($43 billion) to rescue the Spanish banking sector in the spring of 2012, compared to some €50 billion in Greece, as an example.

At the time, Spain was waist-deep in a financial crisis caused when a property bubble burst in 2008, after years of euphoria that saw loans granted almost blindly to households incapable of reimbursing them.

Since then, though, the share of problem loans on the balance sheets of Spain’s banks has dropped considerably.

In the second quarter of 2016, it stood at an average of 6%, according to the European Banking Authority (EBA) regulatory agency. This is slightly above the European median of 5.4%, but well below that of Italy, Portugal or Greece, which stand at 16.4%, 20% and 47% respectively.

Spain’s central bank, which is even stricter in its calculations of the share of bad loans, said in November that it stood at an average of 9.2%, against a high of 13.6% at the end of 2013. The Moody’s ratings agency predicts this should continue to drop thanks to “favourable macroeconomic conditions” such as expected growth of 3.2% in 2016, double the eurozone average.

Banks are also much stricter in granting loans now.

But on a darker note, they are struggling to sell the huge amount of property seized during the crisis from households that could not pay, as buyers remain scarce.

“Despite the mild recovery in the housing market observed in 2015, banks’ real estate repossessions continue to exceed the volume of properties that banks are managing to sell,” said Moody’s in a note.

Original story: Tribune

Edited by: Carmel Drake

Spain’s Banks Still Own €350,000M Of Toxic Assets

26 September 2016 – Expansión

Spain’s banks still have €350,000 million of problem assets on their balance sheets, which they must get rid of if they want to tackle another major problem that they are now facing: their lack of profitability. Most of them have already strengthened their capital to comply with the regulatory obligations demanded by the European Central Bank (ECB).

However, according to data compiled by the ratings agency Moody’s, based on statistics from the European Banking Authority and the Bank of Spain, the burst of the real estate bubble in 2008 and the subsequent financial crisis have left non-performing loans, properties and deferred loans, with a total value equivalent to one third of Spain’s GDP, on the entities’ balance sheets.

Approximately €140,000 million of the total €350,000 million accumulated on the balance sheets of the entities corresponds to non-performing loans or NPLs, whilst the rest is divided between assets such as property developments and land owned by the banks and loans whose recovery has been postponed because the borrowers have not been able to afford the repayments.

As a whole, this burden is reducing the banks’ ability to handle their other great problem: monetary policy at zero-interest rates. Between January and June 2016, the revenues of the banks listed on the stock market which decreased by 1.3%.

In order to resolve this problem, the large entities are having to resort to the market to get rid of their bad loans, albeit with average discounts of 30% on their original values. Various alternatives are being explored to this end, including the structure being prepared by entities such as Banco Popular, which will debut a subsidiary on the stock exchange containing up to €6,000 million of toxic assets. Other entities are packaging up and selling loans and properties to funds that specialise in their management. According to the consultancy firm Deloitte, Spain’s financial entities currently have problem assets worth €20,000 million up for sale.

The analysts at Moody’s consider that the rate of reduction in the non-performing loan balances of Spanish banks is clear for all to see. “But it is not as visible in terms of the volume of foreclosed properties or deferred loans, which are still classified as performing”, explain María Cabanyes and Alberto Postigo, analysts at the ratings agency. They consider that it is essential that these latter loan categories be included within the “problem” loan balance so as not to hide any of the risks.

Moody’s, which estimates that Spain’s banks have deferred loans amounting to around €100,000 million, highlights that on the basis of the transparency exercises performed by the European Banking Authority, Spain is one of the banking systems that is most exposed to the problems of toxic assets. (…).

For this reason, from 1 October 2016, a new calculation method for recognising provisions against these assets will come into force, imposed by the Bank of Spain. (…).

Original story: Expansión (by Daniel Viaña)

Translation: Carmel Drake