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residential Market News: Spanish Real Estate Intelligence

Sevilla: Town Hall Unblocks Land for 3,000 Homes

16 February 2018 - Eje Prime

Sevilla is creating land for new homes. Last Thursday, the board of the Urban Planning Department at the Town Hall of Sevilla unblocked urban development projects that will allow the construction of 3,000 homes.

According to ABC, the three areas of the city where these projects are located include: the plot of the former Cruzcampo and Abengoa factory in Nervión (land owned by Heineken); the plot of the former glass factory in Miraflores; and several unused plots on Avenida de las Ciencias in Sevilla Este.

According to the forecasts set out by the Town Hall, work may start on the first developments at the beginning of 2019. The main plot corresponds to the former Heineken site where 1,900 homes are going to be built (800 of which are going to be subsidised properties).

Original story: Eje Prime

Translation: Carmel Drake

 
Israeli Fund Adar Increases its Stake in Neinor to 9.2%

15 February 2018 - Eje Prime

Adar has taken more power in Neinor Homes. The Israeli fund manager Adar Capital Partners has increased its stake in the real estate firm to 9.2% from the 5.2% that it had held until now, whereby becoming the property developer’s largest shareholder.

What's more, if we add the 2.6% stake that Adar controls indirectly through derivatives, then the percentage held by the fund in the company increases to 11.88%, which is worth €168 million at current prices, according to the registers of the National Securities and Exchange Commission (CNMV).

In this way, Adar Capital Partners has taken over Lone Star’s role as the largest shareholder of Neinor, after the US fund sold its stake in the real estate company that it had constituted, and exited its share capital.

Besides the Israeli manager, Neinor’s other reference shareholders include several other overseas institutional investors. In this way, Wellington Management Group holds an 8.6% stake, Fidelity owns 6.8%, Norges Bank holds 4.9% and Bank of Montreal has 3%.

Neinor currently has 71 housing developments underway across Spain, totalling 5,470 homes, after launching five new developments containing 528 homes during the third quarter of last year.

Original story: Eje Prime 

Translation: Carmel Drake

 
CBRE: Investment in Residential set to Overtake Offices in 2018

16 February 2018 - Eje Prime

The Spanish real estate sector is going to continue on its path to recovery in 2018. The real estate market is expected to continue to spark great investor appetite although some of the cards may change their order in the deck. For example, the residential sector is set to climb to the top of the ranking in terms of investment demand for the first time since the change in the cycle, whereby surpassing the office segment. Together, the two segments look set to ensure that the sector maintains an investment volume of around €13 billion for the year as a whole, just like it did in 2017.

The keys for the continuation of the positive trend in the sector are the “strong economic forecasts for Spain, favourable financing conditions, the cycle of maturity in the market, the products for sale in the pipeline and the corporate operations underway”, according to the consultancy firm CBRE in its Real Estate Outlook for 2018 report.

The housing market will reign in the real estate sector this year, attracting one-third of all investment in the sector as a whole, according to the consultancy firm and experts consulted by CBRE. Nevertheless, the office segment, which will be demoted to second place in the investment ranking, will not be far behind the residential segment in absolute terms, accounting for 27% of total investment. The remaining third of the investment volume is expected to be split between retail (18%) and logistics (12%), as well as less significant amounts in hotels and other types of assets.

The recovery of the residential sector, therefore, will be strengthened over the coming months, according to the consultancy firm. House prices will continue to rise across Spain in 2018, with rises of around 5% and 6% p.a., and the highest increases in the two most dynamic markets, Madrid and Barcelona. CBRE forecasts that demand for housing will amount to between 550,000 and 570,000 units, primarily second-hand homes.

Nevertheless, following residential development growth in 2017, “we can establish that the trend in the sector will be positive for at least the next three years and that the construction output levels will be absorbed by demand (…), says Samuel Población, National Director of Residential and Land at CBRE Spain.

The executive explained that the sector is immersed in a process of concentration amongst the property developers, where “the ten largest property developers in the country will account for more than 15% of domestic output”. Of those, the director highlighted the listed companies Neinor Homes, Aedas Homes and Metrovacesa, as well as Aelca, Vía Célere, Pryconsa, Amenabar and Kronos, amongst others.

In 2018, the promotion of homes will continue to boom, supported by the high existing demand, with 100,000 permits forecast for the year as a whole. Moreover, Población estimates that, between now and 2020, new homes will reach a rate of demand of between 130,000 and 140,000 units. In terms of the large cities, Madrid stands out “with an average need for 25,000 new homes per year” (…).

Development of new offices and logistics spaces 

Offices and logistics are two segments that grew at record rates in 2017. Above all, in Madrid, where both segments experienced a year of great growth, and that boom is not expected to decrease this year. According to the report, the office market will continue to progress with its recovery (…).

For the Catalan capital, more surface area will be handed over this year than in any year since 2010, most of it in the form of new build properties. Even so, Barcelona will remain well behind Madrid in terms of leasing volumes, given that CBRE estimates that leasing volumes in the Spanish capital will amount to 600,000 m2, compared with 350,000 m2 in the Mediterranean city (…).

In the case of the logistics sector, the segment is currently one of the most attractive markets for investors. After registering record figures in 2017, with more than 1.5 million m2 of space leased, this year, more land will be added to the stock. CBRE estimates that for the sector in Madrid, its main stronghold, 850,000 m2 of space will be leased. That would result in an increase in investment in the logistics sector, which could amount to €1 billion in 2018 (…).

Original story: Eje Prime (by Jabier Izquierdo)

Translation: Carmel Drake